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Computational Ecology and Software, 2023, 13(4): 109-122
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Article

Modeling the effect of global warming on the spread of vector borne infectious diseases

Aadil Hamid1, Poonam Sinha2
1Department of Mathematics, Jiwaji University, Gwalior-474011, India
2Department of Mathematics, Govt. S.M.S, Science College, Gwalior-474009, India

Received 20 May 2023;Accepted 28 May 2023;Published online 5 June 2023;Published 1 December 2023
IAEES

Abstract
Climate change, the primarily human-caused rise in the average temperature of the Earth's climate system, is referred to as global warming. In this paper a non-linar mathematical model is proposed and analysed to study the effect of global warming global warming temperature on the transmission dynamics of vector borne diseases. In modeling the process, the total host population is divided into subclasses of susceptible host and infective host; and the vector population is divided into subclasses of susceptible vector and infective vector. The model is analysed using the stability theory. The analysis of model shows that as the temperature due to global warming increases, the vector population as well as the infective host population is increased. The rise in Infective host population results in the fast spread of vector borne diseases.

Keywords host-vector transmission;global warming;carbon dioxide;numerical simulation.



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