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Proceedings of the International Academy of Ecology and Environmental Sciences, 2015, 5(2): 77-82
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Article

Integrating landscape changes into ecological connectivity: What-if flow connectivity

Alessandro Ferrarini
Department of Evolutionary and Functional Biology, University of Parma, Via G. Saragat 4, I-43100 Parma, Italy

Received 9 January 2015;Accepted 15 February 2015;Published online 1 June 2015
IAEES

Abstract
There's an arising need for theoretical and methodological tools to predict how much and how landscape changes will impact animal movements. In fact, conservation planning in the face of landscape changes requires realistic predictions of impacts on biotic flows and species dispersals. The goal of What-if Flow Connectivity is to simulate what happens to biotic shifts over real landscapes if landscape changes happen. What-if FC calculates the spatial divergence of the biotic flow with respect to the inertial (i.e. where no landscape changes are considered) flow due to landscape changes. So doing, What-if Flow Connectivity not only predicts the most likely biotic routes imposed by landscape changes to one species, but also estimates the impact of such changes in terms of spatial divergence and differential shift effort with respect to the inertial (no landscape changes) scenario. What-if Flow Connectivity comes with the software Connectivity-Lab whose outputs are the vectors of the faunal (inertial and what-if) movements plus the statistics of the movement (inertial and what-if) efforts.

Keywords biotic flows;dynamic GIS;flow connectivity;gene flow;landscape connectivity;landscape change;landscape planning;species dispersal.



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